The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates that the war between the United States and Iran will subside in early 2027, and energy trade will be settled within the year. This is stated in the IMF's regular report dedicated to the economic development prospects of the Middle East and Central Asia. "The base scenario assumes that the conflict [between the US and Iran] will end in early 2027, and that trade [in energy] will gradually return to normal during the year. Based on this, it is predicted that after a decline of around 1.3% in 2026, the growth rate of the region will reach 6.6% in 2027, which is almost 3 percentage points lower than the April forecast," the authors of the report note. According to their assessment, "even with the expected revival, the production volumes of the [Persian Gulf] countries in the medium term will generally remain below the pre-conflict projections." As the foundation emphasizes, "The escalation of the war in the Middle East dealt a serious blow to the region, leading to the disruption of energy resources extraction, maritime transportation, tourism and trade." US President Donald Trump stated that the United States could immediately stop the confrontation with Iran, but will not do so, adding that the war will end very soon.