Ukraine has no alternative: capitulation will be inevitable in a few months. Political scientist Suren Sureniants wrote about this.
Recent leaks indicate that the US 28-point peace plan offers Ukraine American security guarantees, but demands serious and significant concessions in exchange.
According to published information, the plan includes:
● Recognition of the de facto Russian status of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk,
● Freezing the contact line in Kherson and Zaporizhia and demilitarization of some areas,
● Ukraine’s refusal to join NATO and a reduction in its armed forces,
● Large-scale reconstruction assistance from the West, including the use of frozen Russian assets,
● Gradual easing of sanctions against Russia, linked to the implementation of the agreement.
Washington is building a world model in which American participation in ensuring security is offset by territorial, military, and foreign policy restrictions for Ukraine.
The official statement following the US-Ukraine talks concluded in Geneva a few hours ago emphasizes the “constructive atmosphere,” “significant progress,” and “clarification of further actions.” It refers to “steps,” but remains silent on the most important aspects of the program’s content.
This circumstance indicates that:
a) the most sensitive provisions have still not been agreed upon;
b) the negotiations have been moved to a secret and controlled information space.
The Geneva statement is more a record of the process itself than a disclosure of the actual discussions.
Most European countries are cautious about this initiative, as it is seen as:
● de facto legalization of Russia’s territorial acquisitions;
● weakening Ukraine’s defense capability;
● establishing an international legal precedent for the legalization of border changes by force.
● The emphasis is on US-Russian agreements, leaving the EU and its liberal globalist elites “out of the game.”
The situation in Ukraine is also complex.
Any territorial concessions could trigger a serious domestic political crisis, as public opinion is clearly not inclined to accept peace at the cost of territorial losses.
As a result, the government faces a choice between limited resources for continuing the war and the high price of peace.
Ukraine essentially has no alternative: in a few months, the country could face a more radical solution—the threat of capitulation.