The Danish Military Intelligence and Security Service (DDIS) announced that Russia may carry out a limited military operation against one of the NATO member states in the coming months. According to the assessment of the service, the risk of such a scenario remains "low but increasing". According to DDIS head Thomas Arenkiel, there is a possibility that Russia will transfer a small number of troops to the territory of a neighboring NATO member country (including without insignia, "for example, under the pretext of protecting the local Russian minority"). As another option, he mentioned the use of long-range weapons against the infrastructure used to support Ukraine. Arenkiel emphasized that in this way Russia will try to "split the Alliance". At the same time, Danish intelligence considers a large-scale Russian invasion of any NATO country "highly unlikely". According to DDIS calculations, it will take the Kremlin about six months to accumulate troops for this. In parallel, Denmark warned about the activation of Russian hybrid operations against European countries. According to intelligence data, they can be "destructive cyber-attacks capable of disabling public systems" and sabotage involving the risk of large human casualties. The kingdom's defense minister, Jeppe Brus, has said that Russia is now under far greater pressure than at any time since the start of the war in February 2022, but that it is "not achieving its goals" and that is why it is attacking Ukraine. on contributors. Moreover, the Danish authorities believe that in the next six months, the Kremlin will not be able to provide a significant breakthrough on the front. Earlier, the Western special services publicly announced many times that Russia could target NATO countries within three to five years. But the Allies' concern grew after a series of attacks on European infrastructure that did not cross the threshold necessary to invoke Article 5 of the Alliance's collective defense charter. According to Danish intelligence, the Kremlin still needs two years to create a real threat of a regional war, and five years to start a full-scale war in Europe. Earlier, the intelligence agencies of the Czech Republic, Sweden, Latvia and Poland warned that Russia will soon try to check NATO's readiness for retaliatory actions. The head of the Czech Security and Information Service, Michal Koudelka, noted that it could refer to "a limited invasion, provocations carried out under someone else's flag or a large-scale campaign of influence", and it will happen. already "in the coming months".